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Mike Campbell's The Campblog
Halifax, Nova Scotia, Canada "Of Interest To Me" May 09, 2008
Thursday, May 8, 2008 The World Has Changed. I see it in the water. I feel it in the earth. I smell it in the air. Link
Sauron, eat your heart out. Forget chatter about CO2 v aerosol emissions, this is simply one of the most amazing pics I have ever seen -- the heat from the Chaiten (Chile) volcano eruption ash plume causing lightning. Bloody Brilliant! Mother Nature, I don't care what anybody says - you rock!
OS-X 'Leopard' - 6 Months Old Link Timely, as I've just ordered it. Surely you've worked the bugs out by now, Steve?
Playlist suggestion: Songs from First Albums Link John Gushue's Weekend Playlist series got me thinking of a few more playlist ideas. I recall getting the '3:00 Songs' playlist idea via John. So, here's one -- songs from an artist or band's first album. Can it be from an EP? Maybe, it's up to you. Try for first 'album' but EP stuff is fine. Basically, songs that capture the artist or band as they were at the beginning. It is true that many artists play gigs for years before getting a record deal. The first effort captures them at this stage, before their careers, the music business, pop-media and all that goes with it either effected/affected them or didn't.
Send me more, I will add them. Or just meme it, you know.
Saturday, May 3, 2008 Top Five Non-violent Things You Can Do in GTA-IV Link
In case you're ever interested, Popular Mechanics lists them.
What Do They Know of England? Link Well, the British Conservative Party, whose symbol is, naturally, a green tree, trounced Labour in Britain's council elections the other day. Red Ken lost the London mayoralty race to Boris Johnson who seems somehow to fit the bill as a London mayor (not your basic pinstriped Tory). Council elections may not necessarily translate into seats in Parliament, but it doesn't look great for Gordon Brown. I bet Tony Blair is enjoying himself this week. Billy Bragg has raised some leftist hackles by talking about progressive English nationalism, along the lines of the SNP.
Billy mentions the BNP which has gained its first seat in the London assembly (from what I can tell, due to reaching a certain threshold in a proportional representation type thingy). Anyway, it's an odd thing to see an Englishman being criticized for talking about his wanting to see more people talking about what being an Englishman is all about.
Sounds familiar. I certainly don't see what there is criticize about this idea. Interestingly, the issue, as presented by Billy, is perhaps a twist on the Canadian problem that we tend to hear about ~ that instead of knowing who we are but unsure how to celebrate, we Canadians are supposed to not know who we are yet celebrate it anyway. But I always tend to think this Canadian identity problem is always vastly overstated; it certainly isn't something I worry about.
The Algae Economy Link Interesting stuff on the potentials of using algae in biofuels. Heck, not many of us eat it. (Via Instapundit) Comments relating to '10% of New Mexico', etc may be useful to provide some sense of scale, but wouldn't necessarily be taken as the way that we should or can accomplish this alternative fuel future. Lomborg, if you'll recall, talks about putting solar panels on 2.5% of the Sahara to provide for our 21st century energy needs. Getting there is another matter ~ it's interesting to know that these possible solutions are out there and that we'll likely see them in some form in future. Mmmmm, algae.
Friday, May 2, 2008 Everton in at #21 Link
Via Toffeeweb, Everton FC are in at #21 worldwide in terms of wealthiest club. Toffeeweb also suggests that the debt estimate should be higher. Dare we note that Everton's cross-park rivals Liverpool FC have five times the valuation and 2.5 times the revenue. But for a bad call or two, including AJ's disallowed 'offside' goal vs Blackburn Rovers, Everton could have reeled in the Reds this season. Oh well, there's next year. So, if you are shopping for clubs, who do you choose. Why not Bayern Munich or AC Milan who appear to have not debt to speak of. Actually, if I was rolling in it and wanted a good buy, I would pick a club in the Coca-Cola League Championship and throw some money at them and get them promoted -- you'd have to pick a club in a fairly good-sized population center. Heck even a League One side if you can wait a few years to get to the Premiership moolah. 2 games remaining, Gunners and Barcodes: doesn't look overly hopeful, as fellow Basque Mikel Arteta will be resting due to injury. Arsenal have 3rd spot locked up and still have a shot at least 2nd or even the title should ManU and Chekski stumble. Relative to the NFL, the EPL is not as wealthy overall. Forbes ranked Dallas Cowboys as the top team at $1.5b value last year, with Washington coming in 2nd at very close to $1.5b. The lowest NFL club was Minnesota at $782m. So, here's a tip to owners -- if you want to bump up your club's value, borrow heavily and build a brand-spanking new stadium. As for Everton's stadium saga, I've lost track.
Time for a cool change Link
Later: Gman writes: By the way...that has been some fine bloggin lately...first we have that awesome meatloaf video and now cool change video...bravo...I say 3 points for you. Yup, I'm all about Quality. If I am the only blogger to link this video together with these stories, then 2 points for me!
It is pretty amusing seeing these articles, first on the PDO cool phase
and then another study showing that the Atlantic oscillations are
pointing toward cool/neutral.
It's also amusing to see all the talk about "yes, Global Warming is
true, it's just that these natural cycles can hide/mask it".
So then, what exactly *is* true about AGW?
Isn't man-made CO2 in the atmosphere supposed to drive temperatures and be the necessary component of global temperature models supposedly because natural processes do not fully explain observations? As global temps and AGW emissions become increasingly divergent and uncorrelated, how important becomes CO2 in the IPCC models? Isn't it increasingly obvious that CO2 as 'the necessary part of the explanation' is no longer required? It's still part of it, but is it the key? If you still maintain that CO2 is the key driver, then it obviously must be continually present - what would global temperatures be over the next decade or so without the increased CO2? If the climate sensitivity of a CO2 doubling is as high as you think, then you must concur that natural variations are much greater than you've imagined. Where is the CO2/AGW footprint in the tropical troposphere? Why isn't it detected? And isn't it interesting that just when this projected period of naturally-induced cooling (no warming) is supposed to end, Solar Cycle 25, projected to be the weakest in over a century, is scheduled to begin? Are people in 2035 going to be sitting there after 37 years of no warming and still be thinking/talking the way they are now? As Lubos Motl points out, if the temperatures projected by these groups are accurate, then one-third of humans currently living will see no Global Warming during the remainder of their lifespans; perhaps it's an even higher percentage of us.
Tuesday, April 29, 2008 PDO Flips Link
This could be flippin' big - NASA announces that the PDO cool phase may have begun (via Lubos Motl). If the PDO has shifted to a cool phase, then it would tend to mean twice as many La Ninas as El Ninos over the next 2-3 decades, as opposed to the other way around. The global temperature trends during this period would tend toward neutrality or slight cooling. We'll see. There will be years when it is warmer than the previous one. But will it be warmer than the 1998 high over the next few decades? As the PDO warm vs cool phases of the 20th century have matched the warming and cooling trends, we can expect this to continue during the 21st, can't we? A big difference, though -- the 20th century saw basically a warm phase, a cool phase and a warm phase. The 21st will see the opposite pattern -- cool, warm, cool. (Yes I know I'm guessing and I'm no expert.) I know that some alarmists are already attempting to blame global cooling and/or whatever weather incident occurs on global warming, but what will be the line if the planet just doesn't warm? I'm thinking by 2018. Right now, it's been 10 years since the global high but the partisans are nowhere near conceding any points. If another decade passes with no net warming, there will bound to be some people rethinking their beliefs on this. Given the rightful reluctance of developing nation governments to brook any imposed emission controls (yes, I just wanted to use the word 'brook') and, despite the US presidential candidates rhetoric, given the fact that American public opinion on this ranks climate change about as low as you can go in terms of problems being faced, there will be more and more pressure to really take a more unbiased look at this very big issue. Just because the PDO shifts to a new regime -- I can't see this or even associated global temperature implications having any effect on the debate for at least another five years. Will mainstream media start to pick up on it? We can only hope. Skeptics just have to keep reminding people that they can't just blame every weather incident on human activity, evil human activity ~ that you have to start showing some causality in this relationship that you are professing. We're seeing it everywhere now, the 'manmade CO2 = looming disaster which we're already seeing signs of' stuff is stated as a matter of fact and as a matter of course in just about any discussion on any topic. More people need to step up and say 'hold on, can we please just give our heads a shake and talk about what is really happening in global climate and what has been/is/will be the causes?' People are doing this, we just don't hear it enough and the msm is largely ignoring it. Later: And, 'yes', you can be an AGW skeptic and yet still be environmentally conscious. I happen to believe the environmental movement made a huge blunder in hooking its wagon to the CO2/AGW issue and making it World Enviromental Issue No.1.
Saturday, April 26, 2008 Two Fun Years Link
Ewan turned 2 yesterday. A fun time was had by all. Thanks for 2 amazing years, Buggy. Next he'll be wanting a GoPhone.
Mitochondrial Mike Link More genetic ancestry. Because the mitochondrial dna, found in every cell of every human, has a mutation rate much slower than that of the Y chromosome, you tend to get much broader/distant results on genetic testing. When getting an mtDNA test done, your results are presented in comparison to the Cambridge Reference Sequence (CRS) which is the mtDNA of a random lab scientist at Cambridge when the first sequencing was done in 1981. All human mitochondrial dna is compared to this sequence and your differences are reported. I am haplogroup H (which is also the haplogroup for the CRS). It's pretty much the same migration pattern as for the R1b males. Iberia during the LGM and then up to the British Isles and probably a Scottish ancestry (which fits the genealogy). I am getting a further 'mt-H' test done which may help identify a more specific haplotype and perhaps narrow down the geography somewhat. I do have a high resolution match on the FTDNA database - this means that this person and I share a common ancestor (most likely). There's a 50% chance that we share a common ancestor in the last 28 generations (vs 52 generations for a low-res match). This person lives in Texas and has roots in Mass/Me and back into Pictou County, Nova Scotia, on his maternal line. He seems convinced that our common ancestor is more recent (comparing the genealogy, it would have to be before the 1870s). Perhaps he's right, but considering the timeframe and breadth of the genetic match, and considering the large Scottish migrations to Nova Scotia between 1773 and 1840, the common ancestor could also have been from before 1773 back in Scotland. Oh well, it's cool to see that connection and wonder what it might have been. I must say that all this genetic ancestry has made me stop and think, not just about those who first settled in Nova Scotia, or even those who lived over the last few centuries in Scotland, but over the hundreds and hundreds of generations that ran before. It's futile, of course, but I just can't help wondering about who they were, what they were like, how they lived, etc. And when I think about all that, all these people had to go through, I'm a little surprised that I'm even here. I'm from a line of survivors, but then we all are.
Tolkien and us Link The Flea must be read. (Link fixed)
Saturday, April 12, 2008 The Source of the Danube and other source-ical stuff Link
Genetic Ancestry Month continues at the McGregorblog/Campblog with a pic of cousin Ewan. I think you can probably work Star Wars into just about any post, Dear Reader. I cannot recommend Stephen Oppenheimer's "The Origins of the British" highly enough. Here, Oppenheimer comments on myths about British origins, discussing Celtic cultural origins in this case,
and later follows up responding to questions from readers. The MacGregors had lost their lands in Argyll, thanks in no small part to Robert the Bruce favouring the Campbells with grants of land. Several centuries after they had largely left Argyll (name-wise anyway) the MacGregor name was banned by the Crown. One variant of MacGregor is Greer. Who knows if this was a clever twist on the name to avoid the long arm of the law, or simply your typical anglicization. Below is featured cousin Jane Greer, who was born Bettejane Greer in Washington DC in 1924. She played quintessential femme fatale Kathi in the 1947 film noir "Out of the Past" with Robert Mitchum and Kirk Douglas.
Watched "Out of the Past" this week. Excellent. She's great. Mitchum absolutely rules the screen. The dialogue, settings and story are top-notch. Jane Greer, in fact, was cast as Rachel Ward's mother in "Against All Odds" which was a remake of "Out of the Past". Steve at Noir of the Week Blog thinks "Out of the Past" is the greatest noir ever made.
Other noir just recently watched include: * Murder, My Sweet (1944). I didn't really like or 'get' this one. I didn't feel Dick Powell was a great Philip Marlowe although apparently Raymond Chandler liked him in the role. I just didn't imagine this guy sitting alone in his office with a bottle of bourbon, but then he's being compared to Bogart. The plot for this one is pretty confusing. * Gun Crazy (1950). Sort of a Bonnie and Clyde type story. Certainly keeps your attention, but you won't really think of this as a noir. Good filmmaking. * The Asphalt Jungle (1950). A great John Huston film, definitely one to watch. A fatalist, ensemble descent into doom. As NotWk puts it, this film could be seen as part of the Huston triology of "The Maltese Falcon" and "The Treasure of the Sierra Madre". Contains great noir lines such as ""If you want fresh air, don't look for it in this town." and when Emmerich's wife complains about "all those awful people" her successful lawyer husband comes into contact with, Emmerlich spells it out: "There's nothing so different about them. After all, crime is only a left-handed form of human endeavor."
Thursday, April 10, 2008 MacGregor of Craignish Link As The Flea notes, this could well be McGregorblog. I had mentioned previously below that there seems to be a Craignish connection in my genetic matches, a distant Campbell connection to that area of Argyll. However, one Campbell with whom I am very distantly related is himself more closely related to the MacGregors. For his relation, he believes it was around the time when the MacGregor name was banned (early 1600s) and his MacGregor ancestor changed his name to Campbell. (Note, Rob Roy McGregor's legal name was Campbell as he used his mother's family name). But, I thought it odd that I would have Argyll Campbell connections further back yet be paternally related to this MacGregor-turned-Campbell. As Kevin Campbell has noted, the Campbell Clan is not from one line (Diarmaid O'Duibhne or whoever) but rather a tapestry of lines including the founding chiefly line, the landed 'gentry' from that area of Scotland, and mostly farmers and commoners from Western Scotland and Ireland. If you weren't part of the chiefly line, as it appears I am not, then you were something else. For me, it looks like MacGregor. I have written the head of the MacGregor Clan in the UK and he has looked at my genetic markers. He believes that I would be a MacGregor clansman, but distantly related from the time before surnames were used. So, perhaps I never had an ancestor with a surname MacGregor. By the time surnames were adopted, my family line had been absorbed by the Campbell group. As for my afore-mentioned Campbell distant-cousin, I can imagine a scenario where there were two brothers -- one was my ancestor whose line would adopt the Campbell name in Argyll, the other remained a MacGregor and his line moved out of Argyll as the MacGregors lost their lands to the Campbells. I guess I didn't mention below that the R1b-9 (Rox) haplotype is also known as the 'Basque' haplotype due to its strong resemblance to the present day Basques. Only Basque Region wines in my house from now on! So, MacGregor of Craignish. And my son's name would be Ewan ... McGregor. This DNA stuff is wild. A week ago, my family roots stopped at the shores of Cape Breton Island in 1839. I suppose I wasn't really looking to follow it all back. However, I did want the deep ancestry and I did want some of the mists to clear. I have the deep ancestry and now some of the mists from the long past have begun to clear. This is where my family lived, this is where they had laid down their roots, quite possibly for thousands of years.
Friday, April 4, 2008 Rox Link
Further to this, I received DNA results on my first 12 y chromosome str markers yesterday. I am of the R1b group -- not all that surprised to see that, but there could have been other results. As per Kevin Campbell's analysis of Stephen Oppenheimer's genetic analysis of the British Isles (see Table 2 in particular), my results for the six markers that Oppenheimer used exactly match Oppenheimer's R1b-9 group, which Oppenheimer calls 'Rox'. Rox was among the first migration north from the Iberian ice age refuge and followed the shoreline (the British Isles were just a peninsula of the continent then due to much lower sea levels - there was no English Channel or North Sea) up along the west coast of Ireland and into Scotland. So, my paternal lineage is from this indigenous group, the first people of Scotland.
Please note that any humour, intentional or otherwise, associated with this post in no way relinquishes any of my claims on North Sea oil revenues or anything else I got coming to me as an indigenous Scot (insert joke here, I guess). In all seriousness, though, I am really quite awed by this finding. To think my family had been kicking around those monroes and glens for such a long time. Yesterday was quite a momentous day for me and my family, it's quite something to be provided with this kind of information on your roots. I do have more markers coming in the next few weeks, as well as the mitochondrial dna test results, so more later.
Saturday, March 29, 2008 Power Hour Link Even Lord Goog is in darkness, all day! Tonite, an alarmist who just bought a condo on the San Francisco waterfront is going on 60 Minutes to insult people who think it was a good investment.
Caress of Steel Link I am guessing that The Flea is rattling his ghostly chains due to this month's 80,000 tonne steel order as part of the Royal Navy big carrier projects.
New Official Airline Link Yes, The Campblog has a new official airline: Porter Air. Just used them recently and was very pleased. The Q400 is roomy enough. No, the Q400 does not have video screens on the back of the seat in front of you. Instead, there are trays and cupholders! Cupholders for holding the complimentary beer that you are offered after your complimentary snack, prior to you being offered yet another complimentary beer. Stella, in case you are wondering. I like being treated as someone who enjoys and appreciates complimentary beer. This touch of the civilized is enough to garner my endorsement.
Monday, March 17, 2008 Haplotype Mike Link Ok, a little more on genetic ancestry research. As I've said, my dna sample has been isolated and has gone to the lab for sequencing. Should have y results by the end of April. Looking at my four grandparents, now all deceased, I believe I am able to get dna information on all four of them. From my testing, I will be able to get my father's paternal line and my mother's maternal line. I have been in touch with 2nd (or so) cousin on my mother's side who is going to get his y-test done, so this will give me info on my mother's father's paternal line. This leaves my father's mother's maternal line -- I can get either my father, or one of his siblings or one of his sister's children to get the mtDNA test to provide this information. As I mentioned before, I am mainly interested in the deep ancestry, not just for my Campbell line but for all four grandparents' lines. Granted, there is only so far I am likely to be able to go to get this stuff. For example, there may be someone alive who would be a male descendent of my father's mother's father and who could give me this y-info (also a Campbell line), but it would be a stretch to track this person down. Something to look at, perhaps. Remember, considering I am two generations removed from my grandparents, if you go back to 5 generations, that's 32 grandparents. If you go back 10 generations, that's 1048 grandparents. If you go back 20 generations (roughly 500 years if you assume 25 years per generation), that's over 1 million grandparents. And that number doubles with each generation. Forget about tracing ancestry all the way back, we are all cousins many many times over. So, getting info on four is interesting, but it gives you just a small number of the millions of lines of ancestry that each of us have had. In the "60 Minutes" piece, an example is given where someone finds out their y results are Peruvian (or something), and their mtDNA results are Japanese. Wow, they say, I am of Peruvian-Japanese descent. But what they don't know and will never know is that every other line of ancestry is Swedish. Ninety-nine point nine nine nine percent of their ancestry is Swedish, and it's information that has become unknowable to them and has been lost forever from a genetic research standpoint. (By the way, the whole dna testing thing cannot be considered any kind of 'scam' so long as the person doing the testing has the slightest clue what they're getting done.) Still, for someone like me who is of ancestry that -- a) appears to have arrived in North America fairly recently, b) were generally 'clannish' to begin with (but then, I suppose, who wasn't?), and c) prior to that, had been residing in a fairly remote part of the world that saw relatively little new faces for a long time -- if I know that ancestor A was an indigenous Scot or if ancestor B was indigenous Irish, then it is likely that a good chunk of the others were the same. If ancestor C turns out to have been of Central European descent, for example, I would be less confident of how big that other 'chunk' of similar ancestry would be.
Am I R1b? I? R1a? Something else? We shall see before too much longer. Over at the Campbell DNA Surname Project (with which I shall be participating with my y results), the administrator Kevin Campbell notes that about two-thirds of Campbells sampled show dna markers that would put them into what would be considered as the 'indigenous Scottish' haplogroup. About 18 percent is the Scots/Irish group which would relate to the migration of Irish to Argyll as the kingdom of Dal Riata was established some 1500-1700 years ago (and, also, the means by which Gaelic moved from Ireland to Scotland). Another 12 percent is in the Atlantic Modal Haplotype group. The AMH is the most common form of R1b and would represent the genetic markers for the first people to enter the British Isles following the Last Glacial Maximum coming out of the Iberian Peninsula. It would be akin to the present-day Basque haplotype; it is associated with human males along Atlantic Europe. I don't understand it properly, but I would guess that both the Irish and Scottish indigenous haplotypes would have been split off from an AMH. Not sure, but I believe the AMH is believed to be the ancestral haplogroup for R1b.
Nissology PEI Link Island studies is an interesting topic, is it not? Not that I know anything about it. I do know a few islands, however. Do check out Hans' Nissology PEI. As Hugh MacLennan wrote: Continents are much alike, and a man can no more love a continent than he can love a hundred million people. But all the islands of the world are different. They are small enough to be known, they are vulnerable, and men come to feel about them as they do about women.
Saturday, March 15, 2008 Sodorian Link
If Ewan's own personal culture had to be described, I would call it Sodorian. I had blogged in the past about his top shows when he was an infant. Now, Thomas & Friends/Thomas the Tank Engine is far and away the number one show. "Super Why" is popular, too, but Thomas is Number One. Most of my bedtime stories to him are Thomas episodes, in fact. Much of the show's language has become part of his own vernacular. If two things come together, whatever they are, they "buffer up". If something hits into something else, it "biffs" into it. If something has is covered, it is "in the tunnel" (from a story where Duncan the narrow guage engine is trapped in a coal mine tunnel). If someone falls over, they "came off the track" or "came off". (Later: and the tub/shower/bathroom is the "washdown") In case you are keeping score, shown above are Cranky, Bertie, Harvey, Thomas with Annie and Clarabel, James, Percy, Gordon (he's a Big Strong Steam Engine!), Emily, Henry, Edward, Toby, Neville, Salty, Jack Frost Percy, Oliver and Lady. And, yes, that is a dinosaur over there on the pile of snow (toilet paper).
The Ides of March Link Man, do I hate iWeb. It's the website creation component of Apple's iLife. I love my iMac, I love iMovie and Garageband and iDVD and even iPhoto is pretty good. But iWeb? Pttoooie!! Winter It's been a winter. In Halifax, many of the winter storms turned to rain as they passed, so there hasn't been much snow on the ground. I could have raked my lawn last Sunday (I didn't, of course, but I could have done). Ewan He's 22 months now and is doing great. He's as strong-willed as he is good-natured and funny. Lori got me a white Turkish bath wrap for Christmas. I had it on the other day while shaving and he walked by -- "ooo, big diaper!". Then Lori took him to the swings last week. It was sunny so she put her sunglasses on him (forgot his baby-bans). These two teenage girls came over and sat on the big swings. He looked them over for a minute and called out "Nice day to swing!" 8-) DNA ancestry I will write more about it in future. Should get my y-results back by the end of April. My sample has been isolated at the lab and went for sequencing on Friday. I'm all a-tingle. The Toffees It's been a great season. Sucks to go out of the UEFA Cup on penalty kicks to Fiorentina, but they had a great run. They absolutely hammered Fiorentina in the home leg to bring it back to 2-2 on aggregate, but Sebastien Frey stood on his head in the Fiorentina net. Everton are currently 7 points into 5th spot with 9 games remaining and are tied with Liverpool (behind on GD) for 4th. Looking for a strong finish. EPL Fantasy Pool I am currently leading my own little pool and am about 6200th out of 1.65million overall. Having a good year. Christiano Ronaldo as 'captain' (getting double points) definitely helps. Later
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